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Dana Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for over 25 years and has covered the online world professionally since 1985. He founded the "Interactive Age Daily" for CMP Media, and has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age, and dozens of other publications over the years.
About this Site
Moore’s Law defines the history of technology. It held that the number of circuits etched on a given piece of silicon could double every 18 months as far as its author, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, could see. Moore’s Law has spawned constant revolutions since then, not just in computing but in communications, in science, in a host of areas. Moore’s Law applies to radios, and to optical fiber, but there are some areas where it doesn’t apply. In this blog we’ll take a daily look at new implications of Moore’s Law in real time, as it rolls forward to create our future.
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Moore's Lore

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November 21, 2005

Mooreslore Part of the Year

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

Every year, it seems a new part comes to the fore.

flash-memory-cat.jpgLast year it was the hard drive. Between TiVos and the iPod, it seemed everyone was buying a new device with a big honking hard drive in it.

This year the product of the year is flash memory. It has many of the same applications, and the new iPod Nano is all about the flash. (Oh, yes, I like them in the pictured application, the "stick drive.")

But when the devices become as small as the Nano, you're really talking phone. That's where Intel is pushing its latest flash chip. It is going to face stiff compeitition in this niche, from the likes of Samsung and others, but competition is the secret sauce of Moore's Law. When companies become dominant in any niche, progress always slows down, and prices don't fall as fast as they might.

Flash actually has some distance to go as a part. Look at the Nano, then compare its price-capacity to the same company's hard drive-based models. You're paying more for less. But you're gaining in reliability, and in durability (if the screen don't scratch).

The phone memory business would look a lot better, by the way, if the carriers were more competitive, and if they were offering real Internet access, as opposed to a walled garden. But don't ask them for it. Companies are about profit maximization, not customer satisfaction. Let's find more competition for them, instead.

The flash memory producers will benefit.

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