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Dana Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for over 25 years and has covered the online world professionally since 1985. He founded the "Interactive Age Daily" for CMP Media, and has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age, and dozens of other publications over the years.
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Moore’s Law defines the history of technology. It held that the number of circuits etched on a given piece of silicon could double every 18 months as far as its author, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, could see. Moore’s Law has spawned constant revolutions since then, not just in computing but in communications, in science, in a host of areas. Moore’s Law applies to radios, and to optical fiber, but there are some areas where it doesn’t apply. In this blog we’ll take a daily look at new implications of Moore’s Law in real time, as it rolls forward to create our future.
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July 12, 2005

Ballmer's Microsoft

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

A reporter can make a good living just covering Microsoft.

This is not a good thing.

One fact that attracted me to technology journalism in the first place was its social mobility. I often write about companies I call "Clueless" and find they have disappeared practically before I can get the piece into digital print. Those that are "Clued-in" can also fall quickly, corporate management in this space being much like tightrope walking.

Intense competition makes for rapid evolution. Call this Dana's First Law of Competition. Markets in India and China are intensely competitive. You can't let your guard down for an instant. This is a very good thing.

It's not what human nature wants, of course. As people we want to relax, to enjoy our lives, to set the competition aside sometimes so we can, say, raise our families, get more education, or retire with dignity.

Both Microsoft and the government had opportunities to prevent this, to re-ignite competition. They chose not to take these opportunities.
steve ballmer.jpg
Bill Gates had one vision for Microsoft, but the company has gone beyond it. He was wise to pass the baton to his majordomo, Steve Ballmer. Ballmer is all sales, all the time, a whirling picture of aggression. (He's also, admittedly, what we call on this blog a Truly Handsome Man (grass don't grow on a busy street) but looks ain't everything.)

Ballmer's vision isn't really about technology. It's about exploiting advantages and making money.

So at Microsoft's recent Worldwide Partner Conference in Minneapolis (Minneapolis?) we got headlines like these:


  • This used to be about software partners. Now it's mainly about hardware partners, like tablet PC makers. This is an important change.
  • Microsoft continues to eat its young, entering profitable small business niches, aimed at engulfing and devouring them.
  • Ballmer told his software developers to "stick it to IBM" even while Microsoft sticks it to them.
  • Microsoft is telling its partners to "push Office ugrades," more evidence that the idea of Windows as a "software ecosystem" are ending.

This is just one corner of the news Microsoft made last week.

  • Microsoft is hinting around at offering its applications under Linux. This is not as much of a stretch as it sounds. Windows has been Unix-based for years. Update: I was thinking of the Mac, and it's late at night. Sorry.
  • Microsoft announced new critical security flaws in its Java Virtual Machine, SQL Server, Word, and Internet Explorer.

windows logo
Microsoft's size and dominance make it a target. The company has to spend so much attention fighting off these threats it has precious little time or energy left to fight the real battles in the market.

A smaller Microsoft would have been a leaner, even healthier Microsoft, competing against several other mini-Microsofts in operating systems and applications. Microsoft's stock has barely nudged upward in years. Financially it's the new AT&T.

And we know how that ended.

So excuse me if I don't enjoy spending the rest of my career watching this play out, and instead continue looking ahead to pastures new.

Comments (2) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: B2B | Business Strategy | Economics | Investment | Security | Software | marketing


COMMENTS

1. Chris on July 12, 2005 11:02 PM writes...

> Windows has been Unix-based for years.

Care to elaborate? :)

Technically, that's not true. Windows uses various design concepts from Unix and VMS, but it's its own beast, with it's own kernel, which looks nothing like Unix.

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2. Thuktun on July 13, 2005 01:00 PM writes...

Update: I was thinking of the Mac [being Linux-based], and it's late at night. Sorry.

Unfortunately, Mac OS X is based on FreeBSD. I don't believe Linux makes any appearance in OS X.

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