Corante

About this Author
Dana Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for over 25 years and has covered the online world professionally since 1985. He founded the "Interactive Age Daily" for CMP Media, and has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age, and dozens of other publications over the years.
About this Site
Moore’s Law defines the history of technology. It held that the number of circuits etched on a given piece of silicon could double every 18 months as far as its author, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, could see. Moore’s Law has spawned constant revolutions since then, not just in computing but in communications, in science, in a host of areas. Moore’s Law applies to radios, and to optical fiber, but there are some areas where it doesn’t apply. In this blog we’ll take a daily look at new implications of Moore’s Law in real time, as it rolls forward to create our future.
Media Bloggers
Just Released the 2008 Tribalization of Business study - an in-depth look at how 140+ organizations are managing and measuring online communities

Moore's Lore

« Rep Rap Rip | Main | Should the Internet be Governed? »

June 06, 2005

Apple-Intel Follow-up

Email This Entry

Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

steve_jobs.jpgIt's official.

Not only is Apple switching its chip supply contract from IBM to Intel, but it is moving to Intel processors in the bargain.

In making the announcement this morning, Steve Jobs said he didn't see how he could continue making great products beyond next year "based on the Power roadmap."

Right after his speech he had a cagey interview with CNBC's Ron Insana. "It’s not as dramatic as you’re characterizing it," he insisted.

"This is going to be a gradual transition. Hopefully a year from today we’ll have Intel-based Macs in the market. It’s going to be a two-year transition.

"As we look into the future, where we want to go is different (from IBM's product roadmap). A year or two in the future Intel’s processor roadmap aligns with where we want to go.

"I think this will get us where we want to be a year or two down the road." Jobs refused repeated requests by Insana to explain what he meant by that. (Jobs is also shaving even more closely than this picture shows. He's down to tiny stubble around a a still-brownish moustache. Hey, Steve, I'm 50 too.)

What I think he means, simply, is video.

Beyond this, most of what I wrote last week holds. This deal is not material to Intel, which continues to face loss of major market share to AMD among Windows and Linux users.

But there are also vital lessons here for followers of Moores Law, lessons I need to impart.

  • Moore's Second Law bites. -- When development and manufacturing costs bite even IBM in the back end, it bites big-time.
  • It's All About Patents and Copyright -- Given the heat problems that come up when you move from 90 nm lines to 65 nm, the development horizon is now based in on patents and copyright. Essentially hardware is software.
  • DRMs are a chip property -- One important bit of software certain to go into chips is Digital Rights Management (DRM). Apple will now depend on Intel's DRM, DTCP-IP, This will have huge impacts up and down the line.
  • Pressure on Intel Marketing -- Intel Inside, the biggest "ingredient brand" in technology, is now under big-time pressure to deliver. Apple lost market share when it switched to the PowerPC from Motorola. Jobs was careful to note in his interview with Insana that the iPod channel is now fully-stocked, something that didn't used to happen. He expects it to happen with Intel Inside.

otellini.jpgAP's pre-launch story on this, by Greg Sandoval and Matt Fordahl, emphasized Apple's "miniscule" market share and called this a "risky move." That's pretty heavy opinion for an AP news lede. But the risk in this case is shared by both sides, which may be why Jobs finally signed on the line that was dotted.

Intel is facing tough times, thanks to AMD. Apple is facing tough times, thanks to Dell and Microsoft. Sometimes tough times make good partnerships.

Time for talk is over. It's time for Intel to deliver. The pressure now shifts to Paul Otellini (right).

Here's hoping he's up to it.

Comments (0) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Business Strategy | Consumer Electronics | Copyright | Moore's Lore | Semiconductors | marketing


TrackBack URL:
http://www.corante.com/cgi-bin/mt/backtar.cgi/7358


EMAIL THIS ENTRY TO A FRIEND

Email this entry to:

Your email address:

Message (optional):




RELATED ENTRIES
The Legend of Dennis Hayes
Evolution Changes Its Mind (Again)
Welcome to 1966
What Must Craigslist Do?
No Such Thing as Free WiFi
The Internet As A Political Issue
Google Images Ruled Illegal
Fall of Radio Shack