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Dana Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for over 25 years and has covered the online world professionally since 1985. He founded the "Interactive Age Daily" for CMP Media, and has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age, and dozens of other publications over the years.
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Moore’s Law defines the history of technology. It held that the number of circuits etched on a given piece of silicon could double every 18 months as far as its author, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, could see. Moore’s Law has spawned constant revolutions since then, not just in computing but in communications, in science, in a host of areas. Moore’s Law applies to radios, and to optical fiber, but there are some areas where it doesn’t apply. In this blog we’ll take a daily look at new implications of Moore’s Law in real time, as it rolls forward to create our future.
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March 10, 2005

Where EDGE Cellular Makes Sense

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Posted by Dana Blankenhorn

The cellular technology called EDGE doesn't make sense for the U.S.

It's not that fast. It costs real money. By the time a carrier installs EDGE his competitor may have true 3G available, and now you've spent your budget but lost the market.

But in the developing world, in places like Africa (the future users pictured here live in Benin), EDGE may make perfect sense. Stuff of New Zealand offers some glimpses of it today.

Consider the fact that most Africans may never have PCs and Internet connections. If they have access to the Internet at all, it's through an Internet cafe. It's a fixed location way to move money, and to communicate via voice or text.

But mobile phones are another matter. (This Nigerian street scene is from a BBC story on the growth of mobiles there.) Mobile phones are becoming affordable to the African masses. Right now there's a big opportunity in selling calls through mobile lines, but that's a transitory thing. With one-chip phones, with contract-free access, most African villages will be connected to the world for the first time, and very soon.

While EDGE costs money to implement, it doesn't require the building of new base stations. While EDGE requires the purchase of new phones, these phones need not be terribly expensive.

More important you have a host of small entrepreneurs throughout Africa who are going to be losing their current opportunity, as phone prices and plans continue to go down in price.

So the village mobile, the one you rent, is going to have a screen, and an entrepreneur controlling it motivated to find valuable services he or she can re-sell off that screen.

And that's how the broadband Internet will reach the remotest villages of the world, perhaps faster than we think.

Comments (1) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Futurism | Internet | Investment | cellular


COMMENTS

1. Jesse Kopelman on March 16, 2005 01:18 PM writes...

Why doesn't EDGE make sense for the US. Right now the Cingular (inherited from AT&T Wireless) EDGE network is the best national mobile data network. I have used it and while 100kbps is not that impressive, it is better than tens of millions of people have with AOL or MSN and it works perfectly well in a train or car moving at 80MPH. The difference between EDGE and GPRS is night and day. If you've already got GSM, it costs relatively little to deploy (trust me, if deploying EDGE shoots your 3G budget, it was too low by a factor of 10). Since real 3G is still too expensive to deploy everywhere why not have ubiquitous EDGE and UMTS where it makes the most sense? If you've already got GSM, EDGE makes sense.

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