\n"; echo $styleSheet; ?>
Home > Moore's Lore


Moore's Lore

January 10, 2005
Roll Up Begin AgainEmail This EntryPrint This Entry
Posted by Dana

A few years ago Jackson, Mississippi was the center of the telecom universe.

That's because it was the home of Canadian-born Bernard Ebbers . He married a Mississippi girl, Linda Pigott. On such chances does history turn.

Ebbers launched a long distance outfit called LDDS in the early 1980s and turned it into a classic "roll-up," buying other companies (usually for stock) and managing to the numbers.

Eventually he named his monstrosity Worldcom.

The result was the MCI scandal.

Roll-ups usually end this way.

There's nothing in a collection of badly-run businesses that makes them inherently valuable. But Wall Street keeps believing the lie, assuming that, with less competition, the kludge can charge what it wants. Besides, if there are only three-or-four "viable" entities in a market, rolling up the rest into a fourth (or fifth) can't be bad, can it?

Well, it can. My point today is that the roll-up process has begun in the mobile phone market.

You deserve a warning before this ball gets rolling. Call it the Roll-Up Clue, or Dana's Rule of Roll-ups.

Customers of small outfits are going to be screwed. Customers generally are going to be screwed (by reduced competition and higher prices). Those investors who don't get out of the roll-up are going to be screwed. The only people who aren't going to be screwed are the investment bankers who will bankroll this nonsense.

And there's not a thing any of us can do about it.




COMMENTS
Jesse Kopelman on January 11, 2005 05:55 PM writes...

The fundamental problem with the mobile phone industry, and in many ways it is a problem foisted upon it by the FCC, is that it does not understand that THE NETWORK IS NOT THE SERVICE. There is no conceivable reason why we need 5 or 6 redundant wireless networks. Why should T-Mobile or Sprint have their own networks when Cingular and Verizon have better versions of the same network? Now I'm not arguing that Sprint and T-Mobile should cease to exist, just that they should stop trying to build redundant networks. Either they should build networks that are somehow fundamentally better or they should focus on bettering the non-network based aspects of their service and become MVNOs. The (M)VNO is the solution to the problem of rolling up. I'd like to see the government shift their antitrade focus away from customer/resource lmmits to enforced structural separation between retail and wholesale operations. If you force the company that owns the physical network to be wholesale only, that results in huge wins for everyone.

Permalink to Comment


TRACKBACKS
TrackBack URL: http://www.corante.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/8092




POST A COMMENT
Name:

Email:

URL:

Comments:

Remember personal info?



EMAIL THIS ENTRY TO A FRIEND
Email this entry to:

Your email address:

Message (optional):




RELATED ENTRIES